File:Patterns Figure12.jpg

figure 12 - part of Patterns in seismology and palaeoseismology, and their application in long-term hazard assessments - the Swedish case in view of nuclear waste management.

Figure 12. The transformation of a palaeoseismic database into the future (100 000 yr) by doubling the original time frame 10 times. However good the base data is, each time doubling implies a deterioration of the quality of hazard assessment. Somewhere, the validity may even break down. Certainly, however, this methodology is superior to the utilization of short seismic records, which must be discarded as meaningless and misleading.

Original source: Scientific paper provided by N.-A. Mörner. Published originally on July 24, 2013 in Pattern Recognition in Physics (PRP)